Percentile normalization
Raw inputs are compared with a fixed historical sample. Lower-is-riskier metrics are inverted.
BUFFETT-DALIO COMPOSITE
See how market risk
changed between two dates.
A disciplined, side-by-side view of valuation, fundamentals, leverage, sentiment and speculative behavior.
COMPOSITE CHANGE
Demo estimates recalculate for any selected date. Replace interpolation with point-in-time market data for live use.
OVERALL COMPOSITE
0-39 Healthy · 40-59 Normal · 60-69 Elevated · 70-79 High · 80-100 Extreme
/100
→/100
SIX-PART MODEL
Risk at a glance
Each dial uses the user-selected reference date. Its exact date appears on every dial; changes equal reference date minus comparison date.
0-39 Healthy40-59 Normal60-69 Elevated70-79 High80-100 Extreme
FULL METRIC CATALOG
Compare every metric to normal
Normal means the methodology's healthy range, with its reference or historical median shown below it.
| METRIC | NORMAL / REFERENCE | CHANGE |
|---|
METHODOLOGY NOTES
A comparison tool,
not a timing signal.
Point-in-time discipline
Real data should use the latest observation available on or before each date and preserve its vintage.
Transparent weighting
Pricing receives 25%; each of the other five components receives 15%. High scores can persist.
Demo dataset
All observations are illustrative placeholders, not investment data. Definitions and screening bands follow the supplied methodology.
Ready for real data
The metric catalog and observations are isolated in app.js so real API data can replace the demo values later.